Episode 64

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Published on:

21st Nov 2025

The Math Behind Salem's Future: How Commercial Real Estate Shapes Community

Welcome to this week's episode of What's Happening Salem!

Jacob Espinoza sits down with Josh Kay from First Commercial Real Estate to explore the business and community side of Salem's real estate landscape. In this insightful conversation, they discuss:

The challenges and opportunities in Salem's commercial real estate market are as a tertiary market in transition.

Why projects like roller skating rinks don't pencil out economically, and what actually makes developments viable.

The multi-year transformation of iconic downtown spaces, such as Liberty Plaza (now The Forge), and the process of repositioning vacant buildings.

Local versus absentee ownership and why community-rooted developers are reshaping Salem's future.

Major projects on the horizon, including the Canary Project on Front Street, are scheduled for the summer of 2026.

Policy barriers and opportunities for housing development, including insights on cottage clusters, parking requirements, and streamlining the development process.

How community spaces and quality buildings directly impact our sense of belonging and connection to Salem.

Whether you're curious about the economics behind downtown development, interested in how local entrepreneurs are revitalizing our city, or wondering why certain projects succeed while others don't, this episode offers a behind-the-scenes look at Salem's commercial real estate world and what it takes to build thriving communities.

Timestamps:

00:02 - Introduction and Josh's community contributions

01:17 - Nearly a decade in commercial real estate

02:26 - Commercial vs. residential real estate dynamics

03:36 - Why Salem doesn't have a roller skating rink

05:13 - Salem's market position and current landscape

07:54 - Supporting Salem entrepreneurs and small businesses

11:15 - Community, belonging, and staying connected to Salem

11:51 - Reasons for optimism in Salem's future

19:55 - The process of transforming vacant buildings into thriving spaces

26:18 - The impact of local ownership on downtown revitalization

27:45 - The future of the Knight Deposit building

29:43 - Updates on the Canary Project and major development timelines

36:39 - Policy changes needed to help Salem prosper

40:42 - Transparency, simplicity, and encouraging development

44:16 - Balancing neutrality, politics, and platform building

45:54 - The power of collaboration and conversation in moving Salem forward

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About the Podcast

What's Happening Salem
Your 20 Minute Salem, Oregon Weekly Update
Stay connected to your community with "What’s Happening Salem," your go-to podcast for all things Salem, Oregon. Every Friday morning, we bring you the latest news, events, and stories from the past week, keeping you informed and engaged with what's happening in your city. Whether it's local government updates, community events, or neighborhood highlights, "What’s Happening Salem" ensures you never miss a beat. Tune in weekly to stay in the know and be part of the vibrant Salem community.

About your host

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Jacob Espinoza